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China's Missile Program - A threat to World Peace?
Of far greater significance are some 200 Russian SA-10 or HQ-10/15
capable of engaging multiple targets and with a limited capability against
cruise missiles and tactical systems.
The acquisition of Russian SA-12 or HQ-18 'state-of-the-art' mobile
surface-to-air missile system however, will give the Chinese a genuine
Anti-Ballistic Missile capability and it is now in service along with the
advanced BILL BOARD surveillance radar and GRILL PAN guidance systems.
A considerable improvement in missile capability is now taking place
within the Chinese Navy,
these include a new long-range enhanced torpedo and several advanced
missile systems. The entry into service of the Russian SS-N-22 Sunburn
anti-ship cruise missile, capable of a speed of 2.5mach over a range of
100 km is significant, particularly as it has a reported target closing
speed, its terminal phase, as high as 4.5 mach.
This would make it extremely difficult for most gun or missile based
point defence systems to intercept the SS-N-22, therefore rendering
current US and Allied Ship defences ineffective with dramatic consequences
for the deployment of the main US Navy Strike Force, its mighty, and usually
unchallengeable Carrier Groups, in the event of a conflict with China.
New Ballistic Missile systems are steadily being added to China's already
not inconsiderable Nuclear Arsenal. In addition, the Dong Feng DF-15, an
important IRBM (Intermediate Range Ballistic Missile) has been upgraded,
this missile system having recently had its accuracy improved with the
integration of a GPS or Global Positioning System. Some 300 DF-15 are already
deployed oppositeTaiwan with another 50 or so being added each year.
The 100 or so Dong Feng DF-21 IRBM may now have a new radar based terminal
guidance system similar to that used in the highly accurate US Pershing-11
system, destroyed under the Intermediate Nuclear Force Treaty in 1987.
This would considerably improve the systems accuracy giving it a CEP(Circular
Error Probability) of as little as 10m and an ability to 'take-out' highly
sensitive command and control facilities in Taiwan.
However, of far greater significance is the development of China's
Strategic Nuclear Missile Force. The Dong Feng DF-31, is a 7,500 km ICBM
that can hit any city within the western & north-western United States, the missile can carry a
massive 2.5 megaton (equivalent to 2,500,000 ton's of TNT) warhead or an
MRV 'bus' with three 90 kt warheads. Great efforts are being made to perfect
an MIRV or multiple independently targeted re-entry vehicles to greatly
enhance its ability to penetrate future US 'Star Wars' style anti-ballistic
missile defences.
A naval version of the DF-31, the Julang-2, an SLBM or Submarine Launched
Ballistic Missile also with a range of 7,500 km will probably be deployed
at sea by 2004 on the Type-094 nuclear powered SSBN submarines.
Further ICBM systems are under development, including the DF-41 an
ICBM with a reported range of 12,000 km thus threatening much of the developed
world by bringing it within range of China's Strategic Nuclear Force.
The world faces the growing military power of China, a nation that
is determined to gain the influence of a superpower. And a nation that
already has a minimum of 15 nuclear armed ICBM (intercontinental ballistic
missiles) aimed at the very heart of the United States!
For in-depth analysis and expert commentary on the Chinese armed forces
and its nuclear and conventional weapons contact AFI
AFI at afi@supanet.com or telephone/fax +44(0)1626 33 50 40
Associates: Richard
Bennett (AFI-UK), Dr James Hawker (Consultant-UK),
Robert Zeidner
(Consultant-USA), Michael Crawford (MILNET-USA)
and Ms Kate
Bennett (Researcher-UK)
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AFI Research,
The Ground Floor, 27 The Avenue, Newton Abbot, Devon, TQ12 2BZ, UK
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