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Israeli military action - much more to come?
The United States appears to have turned its back, at least temporarily
on its most recent approach to the Palestinian question. In an atmosphere
of heightened tension the Bush administration has given a clear go ahead
for a severe, but so far limited Israeli response to the suicide bombings
of the weekend. However, there are some signs that a build up of IDF units
along the border with Lebanon and Syria may indicate that the effective
opening of a second front against terrorism is imminent and that this area
may now pre-empt the planned extension of the overall US campaign to Somalia,
Yemen, Sudan and eventually Iraq.
Arafat is running out of time, the US and Israeli Governments no longer
place any trust in his word or his ability to crack down sufficiently on
the extremists. Hamas, Islamic Jihad and indeed the Iranian backed Hezbollah
movements would welcome his removal, while his few remaining Arab backers,
such as Saudi Arabia are fearful of alienating the United States still
further.
Arafat - can he escape yet again?
The Palestinian Authority received a welcomed publicity boost when
the United Nations General Assembly rejected Israeli arguments and by a
decisive majority backed Arafats position and issued a strong condemnation
of Sharon's policies towards the Palestinians. Israel's UN Ambassador
had appealed to the other 188 nations to distance themselves from resolutions
which he claimed would endow Palestine with international legitimacy, in
spite of this the General Assembly voted in favour of the four Palestinian-related
resolutions, with the key resolution, entitled "Peaceful Settlement of
the Question of Palestine," being approved by a vote of 131 to six, with
20 abstentions.
However, both the Israeli Government and the United States will undoubtedly
continue to ignore the numerous United Nations resolutions on the Palestinian
issue as they have since 1967. Arafat is on a rack, partly of his own making
and this time even the 'Houdini of the Middle East' may not be able to
escape his fate.
Richard M. Bennett
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the Middle East contact AFI Research
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