Iraq and Iran War Drums
December 1, 2002 through December 30, 2002
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The following news stories reflect the current public rumblings dealing with the possible invasion of Iraq. Those preceded with "Item Number" are from the Periscope email news summaries -- a clipping service dealing with items of interest in geopolitical and military events.
The following table is taken from the MILNET report: Analysis
of U.N. Resolution 1441-2002
| Date | Event | Reaction on Failure |
| November 15,
2002 |
Iraq must Respond to Resolution | Security Council will meet to decide on U.N. Response. DONE: Letter to Kofi Annan on Wednesday, 11/13/02 |
| November 18, 2002 | Expected day Inspectors arrive in Iraq | DONE, IAEC rep and UN's UNMOVIC rep arrived with technicians to bring up abandoned UN site HQ in Iraq. |
| December 8,
2002 |
Iraq must document all WMD and delivery system programs | Security Council will meet to decide on U.N. Response NOTE: Key point - If Iraq does not declare any nuclear, bio or chemical weapons, U.S. will insist Iraq has made a "material breach", and go to war. Look for inspectors to return immediately if Iraq declares "no weapons". Also, the declaration must include delivery systems, and this includes new and old SCUDs or derivatives, and many expect Saddam to deny their existence. |
| December 15, 2002 | U.N. Inspectors must have begun inspections | Security Council will meet to decide on U.N. Response |
| February 15,
2002 |
U.N. Inspectors report on inspection program | Security Council will meet to decide on U.N. Response |
WASHINGTON — President Bush warned Iraq's Saddam Hussein that he has
until a
Sunday deadline to prove he is serious about averting war. After
the first week of
United Nations weapons inspections, Bush said: "So far, the
signs are not
encouraging."
"The inspectors are not in Iraq to play hide-and-seek with
Mr. Saddam Hussein," the president said Monday in a
get-tough speech at the Pentagon, his first extensive
comment on the United Nations weapons inspections
since they got underway last week.
"In the inspections process, the United States will be
making one judgment: Has Saddam Hussein changed his
behavior of the last 11 years? Has he decided to cooperate
willingly and comply completely, or has he not? So far the
signs are not encouraging," Bush said.
As evidence, he noted that Saddam's regime has recently
fired upon American and British pilots patrolling no-fly
zones over Iraq and has responded to United Nations
disarmament demands with "protests and falsehoods."
"On or before the eighth of December, Iraq must provide a
full and accurate declaration of its weapons of mass
destruction and ballistic missile programs," Bush said,
referring to a deadline established by the U.N. Security
Council resolution unanimously approved last month.
"That declaration must be credible and complete — or the
Iraqi dictator will have demonstrated to the world once
again that he has chosen not to change his behavior," Bush
said.
Making clear that the consequence would be war, the
president added:
"The temporary peace of denial and looking away from
danger would only be a prelude to broader war and greater
horror. America will confront gathering dangers early before
our options become limited and desperate."