MILNET Opinion
Nonsense Issues,  03/13/2007

When all you have to talk about is a fantasy world, it becomes far too easy to create an issue out of nothing. I contend that is what certain members of the U.S. Congress are about lately.

Here is an example.  The FBI's use of the patriot act is brought into question.  The DoJ Inspector General goes looking and yes, there are some foul-ups.  Some big, most small, but all bureaucratic screw ups.  The DoJ IG reports "no criminal misconduct".  Congress, however, seizes on this as evidence that a) the Patriot Act is horribly flawed, b) the FBI is horribly flawed, and c) the Attorney General of the United States must resign, because he too, is horribly flawed.  What a load of B.S. 

Fact:  At issue are what are known as Security Letters -- they exists as a shortcut to a surveillance warrant and are supposed to be used in emergency situations where the opportunity to catch a suspect doing their nefarious thing is fleeting and may be missed by waiting for a warrant to be issued.

 Fact:  In EVERY case, there are responsible professional law enforcement and anti-terrorist agents requesting and being granted the security letters.

Fact:  140,000+ security letters were used by the FBI in a five year period since the Patriot Act was made into law.  Do the math.  That is, on the average, less than 50,000 letters per year.  If you assume those were each used to obtain investigative information on one individual per letter, then let's look at what percentage of the population is effected by the use of security letters.

Fact:
The U.S. population in 2006 (Tuesday October 17, 2006 to be exact 1) just surpassed 300 million people and grows at about 4 million new babies per year, and a whopping 1 million by illegal immigration.  Later, I'd like to talk about that...1/4 of our new population every year come here both illegally and in many cases unwanted (criminal or terrorist element amongst illegal aliens).

So let's assume zero growth and figure out what is the percentage of people effected in the United States by security letter, if every security letter was both valid and executed properly.  The number of people surveilled  in that scenario is infinitesimal. 

Fact:  This means that 140,000 against 300 million were surveilled in a five year period.  That works out to all of .004 percent (.004%).  0.004 percent of the people in the U.S. over five years had a security letter generated to surveil them.  That is .00092 percent per year (0.00092%).  Microscopic.

The problem with the Security Letter issue is that it is a not a  problem.

First, of the math produces numbers that are so low as to only effect 4.6 in every 10,000 people over five years, and a very significant number of those aren't even American citizens.  The process only effected 9.2 people per 100,000 per year.  I certainly am glad that the FBI was looking at 10 people out of every 100,000 every year.  To do otherwise would be a horrible failure to do their sworn duty!!!!

Second
, the FBI has NOT been shown to be going after political dissidents, Democrats as a population, and especially not innocent moms and pops.  The FBI has been looking at people suspected of terrorism or major money laundering crimes that may contribute to terrorism. 

Third
, the IG report from the DoJ is not at all clear how many Security Letters were actually invalid or the process was misused.  The data just isn't there.  Is it one quarter of the letters, one third or even one half?  Take one half and be generous.  That means that 4.6 people in 100,000 might have had the FBI surveilling them due to an invalid letter.  That doesn't mean the FBI was "after them" or even all that interested.  Of the 140,000 people in five years, many were found to be not worth pursing investigation on.  That data is also missing from the DoJ report.  It could easily be said that of the 140,000, ten minutes of surveillance meant the FBI pulled nearly all the surveillance in disgust -- another waste of time.

It's not like the local FBI office is going after a soccer mom for speeding on the freeway.  No, these are our law enforcement professionals, who may be helping Homeland Security in finding illegals who are connected to a Latin American drug gang, using identity theft to get jobs in the U.S. and in some cases at military bases or airports, ports or other sensitive areas. This is not the FBI agent looking into his girlfriend's other boyfriend's activities.

The people of interest are people whose actions have created probable cause.  Sending money to Pakistan, purchasing night vision goggles and bulletproof vests and then using the telephone or email to arrange their sale to a terrorist organization in the U.S. or overseas.  These are not even petty criminals in the U.S. who have run afoul of the FBI.  The "least" offense is most likely to be smuggling cigarettes across state lines and using the profit "earned" as payments to terrorist organizations overseas like Hamas or Hezbollah.  Or the money being sent "home" to Pakistan where it fuels a range of Jihadists that would make your head spin.  And even then, they probably found no evidence to continue surveilling. 

What the Democrats and liberatarians are not saying is that every one of the security letters met a very high standard of probable cause.  Even in the smallest FBI office, a supervising agent would have to have sufficient probable cause to even request such a letter.  And this is not about a cop looking at a driver weaving down the street, we're talking about major crimes or terrorism here.  The left wants you to think that every miscreant in the U.S. is being surveilled by the over zealous FBI for less than probable cause.  None of that is true, and is so far from the truth, the very idea becomes a lie in-of-itself.

The problem that the Democrats have with this is that in the effort to conduct the war on terror, the government may have screwed up and not sent follow up paperwork to an Internet Service Provider, or that a local FBI region used their judgment and decided it was worthwhile to surveil someone whose activities may have been innocent.  So what?  The whole idea behind probable cause and investigation is to investigate!  You make the judgment, you go look, and if you find nothing to pursue, you swear at the wasted time and move on.  Of 140,000+ security letters in five years, I am damned sure that happened a lot.  That is how you find the 100 in 140,000 potential terrorists in our country.  That is how you manage to prevent major terrorist events in the U.S. following 9/11.  In other words, that is how you protect this country.   You have to look to find.  And you invariably -- always -- wind up looking at innocents in your effort to find the bad guys.  The only way NOT to look at innocents, is not to look at all.  That is unacceptable.

The whole idea about privacy and probable cause is to prevent unscrupulous, malevolent surveillance of the innocent.  To prevent use of the law enforcement agencies to further a political agenda or lean on dissidents.  Yet, that is exactly what the Democratic Congress is now doing.  They are leaning on the FBI for doing their job (the FBI is doing quite well if results are to be the benchmark) and trivializing about over sensitivity to privacy issues and using the fine work by the FBI as a political tool against the executive branch.  There is no evidence, no trace of suspicion except in the Democrat paranoid mindset of any misuse of the FBI to lurk in the shadows and seek out the left.  On the contrary, the FBI has been effective.  Not fabulously so, and perhaps human error and eagerness to get the job done has meant they were a little quick to peek at people who got their attention.  What kind of data are we talking about anyway?

The same data that every credit card company has for every U.S. citizen.  It's not like they sucked out your daily thoughts, peeked into your living room, or bedroom.  The FBI got such sensitive information as your name, social security number, phone number, address, IP address, how often you logged onto the ISP to look at the Internet.  Then, and only then, did they use that information to look further and ONLY if there was even more probable cause.  In most cases, a quick look at the addresses of your emails or the phone numbers calling into or out of your phone made it clear you were not engaged in businesss with a known terrorist or terrorist organization.   End of story.

What the left is worried about is that some of those surveilled may have been Muslims.  Duh?  That is bound to happen when EVERY one of the Islamist Extremists that threaten this country is a Muslim.  That does not mean some sort of pogram against Muslims, it is the reverse.  The over sensitive, nut case libertarian mind cannot distinguish between being a Muslim and being an Islamic Extremist.  However, fortunately for our country, the FBI can and does distinguish between the two quite handily.

That is where the Democrats get all tipsy with annoyance.  Maybe the FBI watched as you or one of your children downloaded a nasty little picture.  Perhaps they watched as you wrote a letter to your sister and complained about the conditions at work.  That is what the Democrats and libertarian want you to believe. 

The Democrats believe that every Muslim who was found to be conducting activities that are supporting terrorism is just an innocent ice cream vendor or a misguided son taking Jihadist lessons for the fun of it.  These poor, misunderstood families who have done nothing wrong.  And you were grouped among them, you were being surveilled along with these folk.

When, the truth be known, the FBI weren't watching you at all.  Nor were they watching anyone you know personally. 

The FBI was watching someone who had gotten their attention in some other way.  Like mailing a bulletproof vest that a CIA operative in Pakistan noticed and tipped them off to a possible weapons export problem.  Or perhaps the person the FBI is watching was caught leaving the U.S. with a wad of money that would eventually wind up in the hands of some Jihadist in the Middle East.   Not the local falaful vendor or the ice cream vendor. Not unless they attracted the attention of the FBI. 

Perhaps the person being watched was using their free speech rights to tell Muslim students to kill Americans and Jews because they were pigs.  That is what concerns the Democrats and libertarians.  That edgy gray area between the right to free speech and sedition, treason and terrorism.  The folks at the FBI are not the political police.  They aren't the local church group interested in the images sitting on your computer, or a business competitor interested in your finances.  Fortuntely, however, if the FBI is tipped to someone stockpiling weapons and training to kill Nancy Pelosi or George Bush, they get on the case right away.

You know, I say a lot of bad things about Congress.  I simply hate the people that sometimes "grace" the halls of that institution, but not the institution itself.  I could be labeled seditious, one supposes, simply because I rant against some of the people in Congress.  And if the FBI decided to "listen in" on my emails what would they see?  A few notes a week from people overseas who don't like what they are seeing where they live.  Maybe a few open source professionals hinting to me that I might look in a particular area for intresting tidbits.  Or perhaps a very unhappy soldier or two who is asking "What do they think they are doing in Congress?  Do they not understand that their words are being used to incite more anti Americanism?  Don't they know that their actions are contributing to the enemy's welfare?  What is wrong with our Congress?"  Do I mind that the FBI might investigate me?  Of course not.   I have nothing to hide and under my scenario here, had probable cause.   They look, they see nothing untoward, and go look elsewhere. 

The problem comes in when THEY look and see something THEY  don't like. It's this "THEY" thing.  Not because what THEY see is illegal or edgy, but simply something not to THEIR liking.  For instance, let's suppose the FBI, the big THEY in the conspiracy theorist's mind,  were working for Nancy Pelosi.  THEY would not like some of my email exchanges that talk about her in not too flattering ways.  If that were to get back to powerful Nancy Pelosi via the FBI, then there you have the misuse.  The Democrats and civil libertarians want you to believe that there is a THEM out there looking over your shoulder like Big Brother.   The Democrats want you to believe THEY (the FBI) are running around on a personal vendetta against the Democrats.

Unfortunately for the Democrat paranoia, there is no such evidence of any such occurrence.  NONE.   The FBI's security letters were being used to investigate major crimes or threats to the U.S., not some personal opinion about a political hack. The Democrats and civil libertarians want you to believe that the FBI is being used as a tool by George Bush to eavesdrop on the left for nefarious purposes.  To listen in on your private conversations simply because they are the government and they CAN.  And as I indicated earlier, it wasn't you and there was NEVER any flow of political dirt to George Bush.  I doubt anyone reading this opinion piece was ever looked at by the FBI in their entire life and few if any names of those reading have ever been read by George Bush or anyone in the Executive Branch. Maybe Bill O'Reilly, Nancy Pelosi or you Dan Rather.  But everyone else who visits MILNET? No way.

There is no evidence of the FBI providing information gleaned from their surveillance to anyone -- ANYONE -- who was not part of the investigative process.  That paranoia only exists in the mind of the guilty, clinically paranoid, or those at risk of personal vendetta -- the Democrats perhaps? 

My point is simple.  This is a fantasy issue, one made up in order to further the effort at Bush Bashing, all part of the 2008 election campaign.  The lefty Congress is playing politics with the FBI and the Department of Justice -- the heinous crime that they are accusing the Bush Administration of doing.  So who is the real guilty persons here?

Note:  Of the possible scenarios I used to provide the FBI with probable cause, all of them have been part of a known investigation that resulted in the conviction of a terrorist.  To my knowledge, no soccer mom was arrested or ticketed due to an FBI security letter enabled surveillance.  An Ice Cream vendor's son was found guilty of supporting terrorism and the father was convicted of immigration violations both related to travel with large sums of money to Pakistan, lieing to the FBI and other crimes one would expect in a terrorism case.  The only business men who have been convicted were cigarette smugglers, exporters sending valuable military devices overseas or purchasing stolen government machine guns or assault rifles, or surface to air missiles.  To my knowlege, no animals were misused or harmed by the FBI or MILNET in any of these investigations.  And I do not contributte to global warming...I hardly get out of the house except to buy groceries and I do not have an SUV, and get about 23 miles per gallon.  So sue me.  Al Gore uses 1000 times the electricity and fuel gas/oil than I do.



Sources:
  1. Demographics of the United States, Wikipedia



© Copyright 2007, Michael Crawford for MILNET