MILNET Opinion
Putin the Secret Dictator,  10/02/2007

MILNET is one of the online sites that has continued to point at our so called new friends in Russia with some disdain.  For instance, we are staunch proponents of the theory that a new cold war is in operation, with the nation of Russia as the obvious replacement for the old Soviet Union -- smaller, less dangerous, but dangerous still.

We are not comforted by the rhetoric of the Russian government or its current President Vladimir Putin. In fact, we believe Putin is nothing more than a dictator cynically using the appearance of an elected, democratic government as a propaganda tool rather than actually operating a democratic government.

For years Putin has been placing his cronies in charge of major elements of the government.  Some of these cronies are in fact ex-KGB pals whose understanding of democracy is from their wide experience in trying to destroy them.  Is it any wonder than that they cannot seem to make their declared democracy in Russian work?

By proclaiming that they are trying to make their democratic experiment stay afloat, they can easily call it quits one day and proclaim both that the experiment has failed, and then take over like the old days.  Think I am delusional?  Well, think again, and look at these salient facts:

  1. Ex-KGB officials are at present in positions of over 30% of the Russian Government 8
  2. The Russian government has slowly been eroding many of the rights first proclaimed as part of the new Democratic Russia 16, 17, 18, 19, 20
  3. The Russian spy machine has not slackened off one bit including a rather arrogant and very public assassination of a Russian dissident through the use of a telling poison, a nuclear material.  12
  4. The Russian penchant for creating world problems through arms incentives and political alliances to enemies of freedom has not abated .  1, 2, 5, 6, 7, 11, 14, 15
  5. Russian diplomacy in the U.N. retains almost all of the former Soviet Union positions, with additional moves that strengthen nuclear proliferation in countries such as Iran 3
  6. Russian nuclear materials aid, while demonstrably more aimed at profit making for the Russian government and Russian government owned companies, flows to the world's most ruthless and defiant, non-compliant nations 2,3
Moreover, recent news centering around the upcoming Russian elections are disheartening to say the least. 16

The problem we see is clear.  The new Russian constitution does not allow Putin to run again after two consecutive terms.  This will essentially, on paper, take Putin out of power.  However, he has a novel approach to the problem.  He has named his successor and is considering "accepting his party's nomination" to become the next Prime Minister, an appointed position.  Who names the Prime Minister? Why the party makes a recommendation and the new President makes the appointment..  And since his named successor is almost surely going to win the election, then Putin simply changes chairs and continues to stand at the top of the Russian government.  A term as Prime Minister than allows Putin to once again run for election and another ten years as the President. 

This revolving chair syndrome is not unfamiliar to dictator watchers the world over.  Indeed Washington Post's Peter Finn implies that all this is just a push by Putin to become the next Premier of Russia.  The scenario is based upon the theory that if Putin accepts the urgins of the United Russia party, that party may gain enough votes to control the Russian Parliment and change the Russian Consitution at will.  From that point it becomes almost a trivial matter for Putin to change the way Russia is led, making him a true dictator.  21

And while there is an urge to call Putin a petty dictator, there is nothing petty about Putin's plan.  The Russian dictator is slowly taking more and more control of the Russian Empire, and despite the fact his old colonies are now his new enemies, he is consolidating power and influence at a frightening pace.  He is even able to convince his former enemies in Western Europe that he has their best interests at heart. 

Of course, Eastern European leaders are not fooled.  Having lived under the yoke of Russian nonsense for 50 years, they have no desire to return to that situation and are not fooled for a minute.  Indeed, some of the most vocal in resisting Russian expansion and detailing Russian abuses of their new democracy are the former Soviet satellite nations.

The dangers of a continued movement by Russia away from democracy are also quite clear.  Russia has proven time and time again, and especially over the last decade, that it is no friend of the United States, and while it makes noises that it is the friend of Western Europe, it is clear that Putin's cynical approach to democracy will eventually leave no room for Western Europe liberalism either. 

With Russia funding and supplying arms to Iran and Syria, as well as supplying Hamas and perhaps also aiding Hezbollah, isn't it clear that not much has changed since the iron curtain came down over a decade ago.  In fact, some might even argue things are actually worse -- Russia is shaping up to be a bigger and meaner monster than the old Soviet Union.

And Putin?  He makes some of the old Russian dictators look tame.  Not publicly of course, this is a new Russia and its leader is ten times the evil lurking hidden behind the curtain.





Sources:
  1. Hezbollah Allegedly Acquires SA-18 SAMS, Middle East Intelligence Bulletin, April, 2003
  2. Russia's Nuclear and Missile Technology Assistance to Iran, Michael Jasinski, Center for Non Proliferation Studies, 6/22/2003
  3. Russia, Iran Finalize Spent Fuel Agreement, Christine Kucia, Arms Control.Org, Jan/Feb 2003
  4. Russian Nuclear ...Change In U.S. Policy Needed, Christina Chuen, Center for Non-Proliferation Studies, 3/27/2003
  5. Russia equips Iran for war, Jospeh Farah, WorldNet Daily, 12/02/2005
  6. Russia and Syria Sign Major Weapons Deal, World Net Daily, Arron Klein, 1/28/2005
  7. Russia's Hamas gambit, Fred Weir, Christian Science Monitor, 02/21/2006
  8. What Does Putin Want? Leon Aron, Commentary Magazine, December 2006
  9. Russia Names Terrorist Groups, BBC, 7/28/2006
  10. Putin Accuses U.S. of Sparking New Nuclear Arms Race, A.P., Fox News, 02/11/2007
  11. Moscow Tehran Ties - The Bear Are Hunting The Eagle, Oliver North, Fox News, 2/22/2007
  12. The Dawn of a New Cold War, Ian Bremmer, Newsweek, MSNBC, 2/26/2007
  13. Ahmadinejad: U.S. Israel Cause Problems, Mohamed Osman, A.P., Fox News, 03/01/2007
  14. Russia Sees Great Opportunities in 2007 for State Armaments Firm Rosboroneksport, John C.k. Daly, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 03/01/2007
  15. Terror-Sponsorship by Non-Islamic Countries , Interview with Dr. Joseph Douglass, Jr., Ryan Mauro, as appears on The Final Phase.com, 12/31/2004 (Posted May 7, 2005)
  16. Putin Signals Plans to Hold Onto Power, Steve Gutterman, Associated Press, 10/01/2007
  17. Poll: Russia's Attitude toward Democracy Quickly Eroding, Robert Amsterdam - Perspectives on Russia, Europe, and International Affairs, 5/30/2007
  18. Bush Warns Russian Leader to Respect Democratic Values, Guardian Unlimited, 2/24/2005
  19. Russian Democracy Under Putin, Timothy J. Colton and Michael McFaul, Johnson's Russia List, CDI, July/August, 2003
  20. Chechen war and eroding democracy in Russia criticized during Putin's visit to Prague, Praque Watchdog, 3/3/2006
  21. Putin Suggests He'd Be Premier, Peter Finn, Washington Post, 10/02/2007



© Copyright 2007, Michael Crawford for MILNET