June 3, 1997
The views expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the Department of the Army, the Department of Defense, or the U.S. Government.

The views expressed in this report are those of the author. This report is cleared for public release; distribution is unlimited.
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Comments pertaining to this monograph are invited and should be forwarded to: Director, Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, Carlisle Barracks, PA 17013-5244. Comments also may be conveyed directly to the Conference Organizer, Dr. Earl H. Tilford, Jr., by calling commercial (717) 245-4086 or DSN 242- 4086. Copies of this report may be obtained from the Publications and Production Office by calling commercial (717) 245-4133, DSN 242-4133, FAX (717) 245-3820, or via the Internet at rummelr@carlisle-emh2.army.mil
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This monograph was originally presented at the U.S. Army War College's Annual Strategy Conference held April 22-24, 1997. The Strategic Studies Institute is pleased to publish the paper as part of its Conference Series.
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All 1995 and later Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) monographs are available on the Strategic Studies Institute Homepage for electronic dissemination. SSI's Homepage address is: http://carlisle-www.army. mil/usassi/

Major General Richard A. Chilcoat
Commandant
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STRATEGIC STUDIES INSTITUTE
Director
Colonel Richard H. Witherspoon
Director of Research
Dr. Earl H. Tilford, Jr.
Author
Dr. Alexei G. Arbatov
Director of Publications and Production
Ms. Marianne P. Cowling
Publications Assistant
Ms. Rita A. Rummel
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Composition
Mrs. Mary Jane Semple
Cover Artist
Mr. James E. Kistler

Alexei G. Arbatov is the Deputy Chairman of the Duma Defense Committee of the State Duma in the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. He is responsible for Russia's defense budget, arms control treaties, and defense industries. Dr. Arbatov was first elected to the Russian State Duma in 1993 as a member of the Democratic Party of Grigory Yavlinsky (Yabloko Party). He is a 1973 graduate of the Moscow State Institute for International Relations and has done postgraduate work at the Institute for World Economy and International Relations (IMEMO) of the Academy of Sciences of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics. Dr. Arbatov has published three books and numerous articles on international security and strategic issues, including an English language book, Lethal Frontiers: A Soviet View On Nuclear Weapons (Praeger, 1988).

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