

IC21: The Intelligence Community in the 21st Century
Staff Study Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence House
of Representatives One Hundred Fourth Congress
VII. MASINT: Measurement and Signatures Intelligence
Executive Summary
As part of the Intelligence Community of the 21st Century
study (IC21), the Committee reviewed the Measurement and Signatures
Intelligence (MASINT) discipline for its relevance in the Intelligence
Community's (IC) future. The results of the study reaffirmed
some long held beliefs about the relatively unpredictable future
-- especially in terms of specific technologies the Community
will have to face. One truism that seems to hold is that the
sophistication of the technologies employed in the future weapon
system (threats that the IC will be tasked against) will be radically
improved, and perhaps even more radically different than those
we attempt to understand today. The resulting need for a more
sophisticated IC collection capability is clear. Clear also,
is the need to unambiguously identify these specific weapons or
capabilities -- often before they are ever used. Less clear,
but undoubtedly true, is the vital role conventional technical
intelligence disciplines (IMINT, SIGINT, etc.) will continue to
play in the identification and location of the more dynamic targets.
However, as the sophistication of these targets increases, or
as countries (or transnational players) employ effective denial
and deception techniques, we will need to employ new capabilities
to ensure we can continue to answer the consumers' questions.
One such capability is MASINT. This study concludes that MASINT
will take on a more important role than it does today in providing
critical information on these future threats. Accordingly, this
discipline must be focused and well-managed to ensure the Community
can provide the necessary information to its various users.
The study's major findings include:
- MASINT can provide specific weapon system identifications,
chemical compositions and material content and a potential adversary's
ability to employ these weapons.
- The Central MASINT Office (CMO) has the requisite legal authorities
to carry out its responsibilities. However, it is not staffed
commensurate with those responsibilities, and a fractured organizational
structure limits its overall management abilities.
- MASINT, as a specific and unique discipline, is not well understood
by both the IC and user communities. Therefore, the potential
of its future contributions may be limited.
- MASINT is both a true, unique collection/analysis discipline
and a highly refined analytical technique of the traditional disciplines.
- MASINT straddles strict disciplinary definitions. It may
use collection techniques of, but does not fit neatly into any
one or all of the more recognized "traditional" disciplines
of IMINT, SIGINT, HUMINT, etc.
- MASINT is the least understood of the disciplines and is perceived
as a "strategic" capability with limited "tactical"
support capabilities. However, MASINT has a potential ability
to provide real-time situation awareness and targeting not necessarily
available from the more classic disciplines.
- MASINT is a science-intensive discipline that needs people/scientists
well versed in the broad range of physical and electrical sciences.
Such scientists can not typically be professionally developed
with the IC. They must come from academia fresh with scientific
knowledge from experimentation and research. Nor can they continue
to be "proficient" in their areas of expertise if they
remain in government employ for an entire career.
The study's major recommendations include:
- The MASINT technical management function should be contained
within the construct of a multi-intelligence disciplined technical
collection agency which oversees the coordinated employment of
all technical collection systems.
- The IC should create a "U.S. MASINT System" analogous
to USSS and USIS.
- The MASINT manager should be a General Officer or SES/SIS
and a permanent member of the MIB, NFIB, and other senior DCI
and DoD boards/panels. His/Her authorities to manage the MASINT
community should be equal to those of the SIGINT and IMINT managers.
- The IC needs to increase emphasis on informing the IC and
user communities about MASINT capabilities and products. Additionally,
the IC needs to make MASINT a formal course of professional education
for all IC school houses.
- MASINT should remain a specific collection and processing
discipline. However, MASINT exploitation is becoming more critical
as threat technologies improve. Therefore, the IC needs to place
increased emphasis on MASINT exploitation within the traditional
technical disciplines.
- MASINT planning and system development must focus on not only
technical analysis that is necessary for long term signature development,
but must also plan, at the outset of any capability development/use,
the need to satisfy immediate "tactical" information
requirements.
- The IC must be able to tap into any/all U.S. resources, including
those not specifically within the IC, that have the ability to
input into intelligence data bases. This includes having better
access to, and guidance of, national laboratories.
- The IC needs a budgeting mechanism that is equivalent of "ready
cash." This would provide the ability to readily fund fleeting
or promising technologies, R&D efforts (without penalty for
those technologies/or scientific breakthroughs that do not bear
fruit), or unplanned operational opportunities. This authority
needs to be analogous to a venture capitalist.
- The IC needs to examine the feasibility of pursuing trial
personnel management programs that provide incentives to recruit
and maintain the necessary scientific experts.
MASINT: MEASUREMENT AND SIGNATURES INTELLIGENCE
Study Purpose
One can argue that the requirements levied on the Intelligence
Community (IC) in the twenty-first century will not be radically
different than those levied on it today. The basic information
needs of "who, what, where, when and why" will likely
not change. However, most can easily agree that the sophistication
of the technologies employed in the future weapon systems (threats)
that the IC will be tasked against will be radically improved,
and perhaps even more radically different than those we attempt
to understand today. Increasingly, even unsophisticated countries
are gaining access to relatively inexpensive, but high technology
weapons. Weapons that can be "launched and forgotten,"
weapons of mass destruction -- including nuclear, chemical and
biological, or weapons that are difficult to detect or are stealthy.
The resulting need for a more sophisticated IC collection capability
is clear. Clear also, is the need to unambiguously identify these
specific weapons or capabilities -- often before they are ever
used. The IC's ability to specifically locate, identify, characterize,
and determine the intentions of such weapons or threats is, and
will become even more, critical. Conventional technical intelligence
disciplines -- Imagery Intelligence (IMINT), Signals Intelligence
(SIGINT), etc. -- have played, and will continue to play, a vital
role in the identification and location of such targets. However,
as the sohpistication of these targets increases, or as countries
(or transnational players) employ effective denial and deception
techniques, we will need to employ new capabilities to ensure
we can continue to answer the consumers' questions. One such
capability is Measurement and Signature Intelligence, or MASINT.
MASINT is a very scientific and technically-based discipline
that can provide unique contributions to the IC in terms of specific
weapon identifications, chemical compositions, material content,
etc. Such unique identifications will be a major factor in answering
the future questions of "who, what where, when and why."
In fact, some believe MASINT will be the most important "technical
INT of the future."
Despite the clear criticality, both present and future, of
the MASINT discipline, it is the least well known of the technical
collection/analysis disciplines. Many have questioned the nature
of the discipline: is it a true collection discipline or is it
a unique product based on specialized analysis? Few who have
had the opportunity to review MASINT products, however, can dispute
their utility, or the current and growing need for these products.
The purpose of this study, therefore, was to determine several
specific issues relative to MASINT. First, was to identify the
viability and need for MASINT-unique collection and processing
in the 21st Century. Second, was to determine the IC's strengths
and weaknesses in providing such necessary MASINT support. This
was to include making any recommendations for necessary changes
to systems, architectures, management, technologies requiring
emphasis, etc. to ensure the discipline's viability. Finally,
we wanted to address the budget implications of attempting to
achieve these goals.
Study Approach
It should be first noted that this is not a scientific study,
but rather an assessment based on community expert inputs. To
get substantive input for the study, the staff team sponsored
several round-table panel discussions, numerous individual interviews,
and formal presentations with MASINT Committee members, the Services,
the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA), Arms Control professionals
and former community officials. The effort was designed to "think
out of the Future Years' Development Program (FYDP) box."
That is, there was no attempt to indict the past, present, or
programmed organization and efforts, but rather to look "beyond"
into the future. The team developed an outline and series of
questions to prompt inputs/discussion from each of the invited
participants. The approach viewed MASINT as a distinct collection
discipline even though the discipline is not well bounded by specific
(and unique) collection and exploitation definitions. Our effort
focused on identifying the current capabilities and systems trying
to determine their individual contributions and where each should/could
be best employed in the future. However, the sciences and rapidly
evolving technologies involved eventually focused us more toward
a review of MASINT management, including the abilities to coordinate
and program for new sensors/technologies, to task sensors, and
to use and disseminate MASINT information. Recommendations from
participants were noted and, to the extent possible, identified
in this report.
Secondly, it also needs to be noted that the recommendations
offered below were originally focused on a MASINT management and
operational structure that was generally maintained within the
current IC organization. And, although these recommendations
were made before the completion of the Intelligence Community
Management staff study, they work well within the construct of
that study's more consolidated community organization. Specifically
within the context of that study, all references to the "Central
MASINT Office (CMO)" are assumed to be describing a division
(or office) within the Technical Collection Agency (TCA) under
the Deputy Director of Central Intelligence for Community Management
(DDCI/CM). If the TCA construct is not adopted, the CMO references
describe the Community's MASINT management organization assumed
to be within the DIA.
Finally, in addition to the panel discussions and interviews,
the team reviewed and used the following supporting documents
during the study:
- MASINT Handbook for the Warfighter, prepared by the INCA
Project Office, November 1994
- CMO Biological and Chemical Warfare Intelligence Collection
Strategy Briefing, R. Paul Schaudies, Ph.D., November 1994
- CMO Investment Process Briefing, Mr. Dale Helmer, August
94
- CMO MASINT Master Plan, January 1994
- MASINT 2010 Study, October 1995
- Director of Central Intelligence Directive 2/11-1, December
1992
- DoD Instruction 5105.58, February 1993
- DoD Instruction 5105.21, May 1977
Background
A general understanding of the genesis of MASINT and its
official definition is appropriate prior to a study regarding
the future of the discipline.
Recognizing the need to ensure proper exploitation of complex,
technically-derived data, the IC classified MASINT as a formal
intelligence discipline in 1986. At that time, the IC Staff MASINT
Committee was formed to oversee all MASINT activities. To further
consolidate MASINT management, the Central MASINT office (CMO)
was established in 1993 by the Director, DIA, with specific responsibilities
detailed by the Director of Central Intelligence (DCI) and Department
of Defense (DoD) Directives. The CMO is a joint IC and DoD activity
within DIA, that directs and implements national and DoD policies
and procedures on MASINT matters. With that quick background,
it is useful to identify the IC's current official definition
of MASINT:
Measurement and Signature Intelligence (MASINT) is technically
derived intelligence (excluding traditional imagery and signal
intelligence) which when collected, processed, and analyzed, results
in intelligence that detects, tracks, identifies, or describes
the signatures (distinctive characteristics) of fixed or dynamic
target sources. MASINT includes the advanced processing and exploitation
of data derived from IMINT and SIGINT collection sources. MASINT
sensors include, but are not limited to, radar, optical, infrared,
acoustic, nuclear, radiation detection, spetroradiometric, and
seismic systems as well as gas, liquid, and solid material sampling
systems.
Despite this definition, many in the IC (and policy community)
are confused as to what MASINT really is. Although MASINT can
be described as the highly technical exploitation of traditional
disciplines, the MASINT collection techniques cover areas not
addressed by other disciplines. In many respects, there is a
clear distinction between MASINT and the other disciplines. MASINT
can be considered analogous to the individual who relies on all
senses to gain information about his or her environment. Where
SIGINT is akin to sound, and IMINT to sight, MASINT is akin to
touch, taste and smell. The areas where MASINT expands on the
traditional disciplines (IMINT and SIGINT) can be thought of as
providing aids to improve upon or add dimensions and capabilities
to the sight and sound senses that would not otherwise be possible.
Is MASINT a true collection discipline, or is it actually specialized
processing of other collection disciplines? Is it a separate
field of specialization, or more appropriately classified as additional
processing and analysis of existing data? These questions were
a fundamental basis for the study that went into this report.
Specifically, we tried to determine how to correct this "identity
crisis," while ensuring the community will be served by the
truly unique product MASINT can provide.
General Conclusions
Based on the various inputs, the group identified six general
conclusions that appear to sum up the general issues relative
to MASINT. Each of the general conclusions are later broken down
into specific conclusions and recommendations.
- MASINT is difficult to bound by strict definitions. In
fact, MASINT collections can, in part, legitimately be labeled
as SIGINT, Infrared Intelligence (IRINT), IMINT, HUMINT, etc.
However, MASINT does not fit neatly into any one or all of
these recognized "traditional" intelligence disciplines.
MASINT is both a true, unique, collection/analysis discipline
and highly refined analytical techniques of those traditional
disciplines. Despite these gray lines of demarcation, MASINT
may be the "intelligence discipline of the future"
-- that is, MASINT is a discipline that is becoming more important
in identifying and characterizing new and emerging threats,
particularly as weapon system technologies become more complex
and capable. Without a robust and focused capability, MASINT's
support to future needs, such as "brilliant" weapons
and national information requirements (e.g., weapons proliferation,
arms control, force modernization, strategic programs, scientific
and technical needs, environmental and humanitarian concerns,
and counter-narcotics/terrorism), may be inadequate.
- MASINT is perceived as a "strategic" discipline
with limited "tactical" support capabilities. But,
by application of real-time analysis and dissemination, MASINT
has a potential ability to provide real-time situation awareness
and targeting not necessarily available to the more classic
disciplines. Because of these perceptions, MASINT does not
get the attention of the tactical consumers, and has less
constituency support than the more traditional intelligence
disciplines. Lacking proper constituency, MASINT sensors
and analysis will likely not be properly supported or maintained.
Results will include a lack of targeting templates for smart
weapons.
- MASINT, as a specific and unique discipline, is not well
understood by the IC as a whole. Therefore, although it provides
significant intelligence products, its contributions, or the
potential of its contributions may have been and will likely
be limited. The full extent if its future application to national
and operational intelligence will not be realized.
- Funding levels for the current MASINT systems, and those
projected into the future are not reflective of the importance
of this discipline to the Nation's general intelligence/ dominant
knowledge efforts. This is primarily because users do not have
direct tasking over, and therefore understanding of, MASINT
sensors.
- The roadmap for specific MASINT technologies appears to
be fairly well thought out and necessary for the 21st century.
However, there may be insufficient funding flexibility for
reacting to, or pursuing new, emerging, or fleeting technologies.
Additionally, there is a need to ensure a balance between
the requirements and technologies that support military battlefield
requirements, and the often more exacting requirements and technologies
that are needed for IC national monitoring and detection of
weapon or agent developments.
- Although the CMO has the necessary legal authorities,
it is not properly staffed commensurate with its responsibilities.
Additionally, a fractured organizational structure provides
little to no focused MASINT management, budgeting oversight,
tasking control, or coordination of effort. This may potentially
cause inefficient expenditures of resources and duplicative
developments.
Specific Conclusions/Findings
A) "MASINT is difficult to bound by strict definitions.
In fact, MASINT collections can, in part, legitimately be
labeled as SIGINT, IRINT, IMINT, HUMINT, etc. However, MASINT
does not fit neatly into any one or all of these recognized
"traditional" intelligence disciplines. MASINT is
both a true, unique, collection/analysis discipline and highly
refined analytical techniques of those traditional disciplines.
Despite these gray lines of demarcation, MASINT may be the
"intelligence discipline of the future" -- that is,
MASINT is a discipline that is becoming more important in identifying
and characterizing new and emerging threats, particularly as
weapon system technologies become more complex and capable.
Without a robust and focused capability, MASINT's support to
future needs, such as "brilliant" weapons and national
information requirements (e.g., weapons proliferation, arms
control, force modernization, strategic programs, scientific
and technical needs, environmental and humanitarian concerns,
and counter-narcotics/terrorism), may be inadequate."
- One discussion point focused on whether to maintain MASINT
as a separate discipline or to break it up into the separate
disciplines (i.e. Radar Intelligence (RADINT), SIGINT, IMINT,
etc.). This discussion focused on whether or not to make
MASINT professionals organic to the traditional intelligence
disciplines or keep them separated within the distinct discipline.
Some believe that doing away with the unique professional
MASINT discipline that cuts across the other disciplines'
collection spectra would be counterproductive. They believe
better coordinated MASINT products are possible when viewed
across the various collection disciplines. Their argument
for maintaining a separate MASINT discipline states that such
"cross cutting" is providing positive results in
terms of all-source analysis. Upon close inspection this
is apparently true. However, there is a counter-argument that
includes the issue of refined "technical" exploitation
of the "traditional intelligence disciplines" (explained
below). This counter-argument focuses on the need to "proliferate"
the MASINT exploitation potential to other disciplines. Regardless
of the whether MASINT remains a distinct discipline or not,
there is a need to redouble efforts to get people of different
"intelligence stovepipe" expertises together doing
true all-source (including non-intelligence sourced information)
analysis.
- As touched on above, a counter-argument is that MASINT,
as a term and as a separate discipline, may not be what is
needed for the 21st century. A specific case can be made
that MASINT is simply more refined, more scientific and more
technically challenging analysis of existing collection/1/
(although much MASINT collection is done outside the realms
of other existing collection disciplines). However, one
respondent (favoring maintaining a separate discipline)
stated, "Frankly, the MASINT odds and ends (e.g., phase
history data) that could belong to other intelligence
disciplines would probably not exist today if the MASINT phenomenologists
had not pursued them." This may be true, but the question
still exists which asks "Is MASINT a separate collection
discipline or is it IMINT, SIGINT, HUMINT, IRINT, or other
disciplines in their various forms?" Further, if the answer
to the latter is "yes," then one has to ask whether
MASINT is then the more detailed exploitation of those available
collections. This argument becomes less clear, and the apparent
answer to the first question becomes "no" when one
studies the clearly MASINT-unique collection systems, entities
and missions such as seismometry, nuclear and soil sampling.
The argument for subsuming the MASINT discipline assumes
that the MASINT product is not-so-simply the result of more
in-depth analysis of the "traditional" intelligence
disciplines. For example, although COBRA BALL is clearly
a MASINT platform, its collection media are multidisciplined,
and include IMINT (visible and non-visible spectra).
The product distinction is more in the resulting analysis
and use of the data collected via these disciplines' means.
The product then, rather than being used for the traditional
intelligence support functions of counting tanks, locating
battalions, and targeting ATACMS missiles, is used for
scientific/technical refinement to do signature and capability
analysis. The basic sciences (between MASINT and the other
disciplines) are not altered or different, but the state of
refinement is. Another example is effluent analysis based
on hyper-spectral collection. The collection is, arguably,
IMINT in its various (non-imaging) spectra, but the product
is fundamentally different analysis of the effluent content
-- not just the detection (or imaging) of presence. This
argument would question whether MASINT tasking, analysis and
expertise need to be better developed within the existing
"traditional" intelligence disciplines.
- Another argument for maintaining MASINT as a distinct
discipline is captured in the following. Specifically, MASINT
seeks to collect metric data and signatures. Metric data
are derived from the direct measurement of the kinematics
performance of targets of interest. Metric data provide information
on the dynamic capabilities of targets and/or the tactics
for their use. Signature data typically are -- or are derived
from -- "high-fidelity measurements of targets of interest,
in the context of their application, use or production, to
allow the current or future unique identification of such
targets." SIGINT, as its name implies, is based on the
desire to intercept or collect signals -- the transmission
of information from one place to another. Intercepted signals
could contain information on a wide variety of topics that
overlap information collected by IMINT or MASINT means; but
the collection is still SIGINT. IMINT endeavors to provide
pictorial representations of targets and areas of interest
-- not the spectral analysis of material content. All three
technical collection disciplines employ electro-optical (EO)
- and radio frequency (RF) -- based systems to provide unique
MASINT, SIGINT, and IMINT collection capabilities. However,
and additionally, MASINT also makes use of a wide range of
other measurement techniques such as seismic, acoustics,
magnetic, and nuclear, to provide capabilities against
targets that cannot be prosecuted using EO- or RF-based systems.
In summary, intelligence disciplines are differentiated on
the basis of the type of information being collected and extracted
through processing and exploitation -- not on the physical basis
of the collection system employed or the intelligence problem
being addressed. This argument attempts to justify the need
to maintain MASINT as a separate discipline. This is a good
argument and position, but perhaps one that is bound by the
"current think" box.
Findings/Recommendations (There are several, possibly conflicting
recommendations which need to be discussed/debated)
- There are several possibilities for ensuring the MASINT
capability into the future. The first would be to delete
the term MASINT from the IC's vernacular. This option would
place MASINT collection and exploitation functions within
the auspices of the other collection disciplines. This
would require replacing the term with a deeper understanding,
and, moreover, appreciation for the fact that more exploitable
information is available (much within the current discipline
collections) than what is being used today by the "traditional
exploiters" (those unique collections traditionally identified
as "MASINT" not withstanding). This understanding
will require the employment of scientific and technical people
(the current "MASINTers") within the traditional
intelligence organizations (the services, NSA, CIO, etc.),
and force more "traditional collection" in the areas
of sampling, etc. This is to say that specific, technically-astute
(MASINT) individuals need to do this; it most likely cannot
be done by people who are experts in the known collection
and exploitation functions of the traditional disciplines.
However, there is a danger in deleting the term, and putting
"MASINTers" in with the more traditional disciplines.
These people may eventually "get lost" in the traditional
disciplines' focused charters and the technical and scientific
exploitation will be lost. This was the reason the MASINT
discipline was created in the first place. Additionally, deleting
the term would force other approaches at non-traditional collection
such as seismic, thermal, etc.
- The second possibility is to maintain the status quo and
retain MASINT as a specific discipline. This does not improve
the problems we see today with the identity of MASINT.
- The third is a "hybrid" of the two options above.
That is, MASINT should remain a specific collection and
processing discipline with its core of professionals and
management staff. However, the more traditional technical
disciplines of IMINT and SIGINT should specifically address,
in their charters, the recognition of the MASINT ability to
glean additional data from their collections (this would be
facilitated by the TCA construct). This would require the
deeper understanding, and associated dedicated people
identified in the paragraph above. Additionally, MASINT should
be treated just as are the other technical disciplines in
that the IC should Create a "U.S. MASINT System"
with associated functional manager (the CMO). This would
still be logical within the structure of a TCA. Finally, based
on the outcome of the Intelligence Community Management staff
study, the Committee recommends the MASINT functional manager
(FM) (the CMO) be subordinated to the TCA for logical management.
- The basic sciences (between MASINT and the other disciplines)
are not altered or different. It is the state of refinement
(of the technical or scientific analysis), often the collection
source (e.g. the case of soil or effluent sampling) and nature
of data being pursued that are the differences.
- MASINT tasking, analysis, and expertises need to be better
developed within the existing "traditional" intelligence
disciplines. Specifically, the more traditional disciplines
need to have a better understanding and appreciation for the
facts that additional exploitable (MASINT) information may
exist within their current collections. This requires the
deeper understanding recommended above, but also requires
a specific oversight organization (the current CMO) to ensure
this refined analysis and IC direction.
B) MASINT is perceived as a "strategic" discipline
with limited "tactical" support capabilities. But,
by application of real-time analysis and dissemination, MASINT
has a potential ability to provide real-time situation awareness
and targeting not necessarily available to the more classic
disciplines. Because of these perceptions, MASINT does not
get the attention of the tactical consumers, and has less constituency
support than the more traditional intelligence disciplines.
Lacking proper constituency, MASINT sensors and analysis will
likely not be properly supported or maintained. Results will
include a lack of targeting templates for smart weapons."
- As stated previously, MASINT is, in some cases, the more
scientific analysis product of the more traditional collection
disciplines. Because of the highly technical means utilized,
most MASINT systems' focus has been on the longer-term (i.e.,
not "real-time") analysis of data to determine characteristics,
signatures, target templates, etc. With the advent of modern
processing techniques and capabilities, MASINT systems have
an increased potential for doing their analysis in near real-
or real-time. Such potential MASINT contributions to the
requirements of tactical customers is poorly known -- and
in some cases not being pursued.
One example of MASINT contributions to real-time identification
is the application of MASINT signature data for non-cooperative
target identification (NCTI). Today, U.S. systems have a
capability to identify hostile fighter aircraft based on MASINT
techniques. However, it is poorly known that this analysis
was done by MASINT resources. Because of the "unknown sources"
for such capabilities, constituency concerns can arise during
budget formulations when the participants have a poor or no
understanding of MASINT (or other intelligence) applications.
Decisions whether to fund intelligence sensors or additional
technologies -- such as NCTI -- on offensive weapons can be
skewed, based on these lack of understandings. For example,
funding debates that are "pro-intelligence" (versus
"operational") may be short-lived and the original
contributing capability (e.g., a MASINT sensor) is the
loser. It must be continuously recognized there is a basic
difference between the general sensor approach for "warfighting"
and the specific, often more sophisticated, sensors necessary
for intelligence collection and knowledge-making. Intelligence
sensors must have the ability to measure and define fully
the target threat or signature needed. Therefore, these must
have full spectral coverage, dynamic range, etc. The resulting
"battlefield sensors" employed by users often can
be more simply designed to recognize the presence of a threat
based on the signatures provided by intelligence. The importance
of this thought cannot be underestimated.
- Despite its "strategic" intelligence past, MASINT
has a critical and growing role in future real-time "warfighter"
support. Specifically, MASINT "sensors" have unique
capabilities to detect missile launch, detect and track
aircraft, ships, and vehicles, do NCTI and battle damage
assessment, and detect and track fallout from nuclear detonations.
Often, these contributions are the first indicators of hostile
activities. The shootdown, for example, of the two EXOCET-equipped
Mirage F-1s during the Gulf War was attributed to a MASINT
collection and analysis.
- MASINT, or the "MASINT applications" of SIGINT and
IMINT (etc.), will become more important in providing the
future inputs for smart weapons target templating. That is,
MASINT is critical for providing future weapons with the
signatures (fingerprint) of the targets they are seeking (IR
signatures for example).
- MASINT sensors are often the same systems as "warfighting
systems." The difference is often only the level of
sophistication of the data analysis. A specific example is
the use of data available from operational radars incidental
to the targeting functions for which these radars were built.
AEGIS radar returns contain data that can provide significant
metric data for assessing weapons system performances.
Findings/Recommendations
- MASINT planning must focus on not only the technical analysis
that is necessary for long term signature development, but
must also plan, at the outset of any capability development/use,
the need to satisfy immediate information requirements for
the tactical consumer. This means that MASINT planners must
coordinate with the information users at the inception of
a program to determine, at a minimum, the needs to be satisfied,
the format for display of the information required, and
addressing human factors issues such as amount of data,
timeliness of data, etc.
- MASINT systems should be provided with the capability
to communicate with/broadcast directly to customers just as
do the "traditional intelligence disciplines." This
should include an assessment of the utility of broadcast systems
such as the Tactical Information Broadcast Service (TIBS)
and other data links. The specific implementation of this
recommendation should be developed by the DDCI/CM's Infrastructure
Support Organization (see Intelligence Community Management
staff study).
- MASINT culture must be changed to think of analysis in
terms of seconds and hours AS WELL AS its current months and
years. This requires school house concentration on MASINT
curriculum, and an everyday appreciation with the traditional
disciplines. This also demands that users be involved and
informed relative to MASINT capabilities.
- Specifically identified MASINT systems are not the only
sources of MASINT data. Targeting radars, for example, can
provide ancillary data useful to the national collection/analysis
efforts. CMO must have 1) insight not only to specifically
identified MASINT systems, but also to those offensive weapons
systems (radars for example) capabilities that can contribute
to technical and scientific (MASINT) information data bases;
2) when necessary, have the wherewithal to request/suggest/ask
for tasking authority for these systems. Additionally, CMO
should have a funding ability to provide "seed"
money to determine or improve MASINT exploitation of existing
weapon system data. This will require a "rethink"
that "intelligence and its sensors" are not something
strictly unique, but rather "intelligence and its sensors"
are the totality of information available to the U.S. government.
The national defense psyche must not continue in the "we"
(operations)/"they" (intelligence) construct.
CMO needs a better understanding of user needs, not just stated
requirements. This demands that the intelligence and user
communities (particularly the MASINT community in this case)
coordinate and talk more. The security barriers to effective
communication must be broken down. (They are to some extent,
but this must be expanded.)
C) "MASINT, as a specific and unique discipline, is not
well understood by the IC as a whole. Therefore, although it
provides significant intelligence products, its contributions,
or the potential of its contributions may have been/will be
limited. Its future application to national and operational
intelligence will not be maximized."
- Despite the formal definition, MASINT remains an intelligence
discipline enigma. It is more diverse and unique than the
more focused IMINT and SIGINT disciplines. It is characterized
by some as having some similar sources and methods (of the
more classic disciplines), but much more complex, particularly
with respect to analysis than those others. MASINT has many
of the collection characteristics of the other technical disciplines,
however, it is the unique exploitation and unique techniques
that distinguish MASINT results. One respondent stated that
MASINT products are the intelligence bits remaining after
the expected results of collection are removed. Another stated
that MASINT provides alternatives that supplement "conventional"
collection to provide "the rest of the story."
- Some would say it is the unique data retrieved from
additional processing -- the technical and scientific data
-- that can set the MASINT discipline apart from the host
intelligence discipline." However, MASINT collection
and processing are not limited to the phenomena of the
electro-magnetic (RF) spectrum. Significant MASINT information
is derived from seismic sensors, acoustic sensors, nuclear
radiation sensors and material/effluent sampling. This identity
crisis becomes troubling when there is a choice to be made,
particularly in funding issues. Some state there is no identify
crisis for MASINT, that there is, instead, a need for IC and
customer education. This education need does, indeed, reflect
the identity crisis discussed above.
- The CMO and INCA have developed a guide called the MASINT
Handbook for the Warfighter. This document has been printed
and distributed to "demystify the world of MASINT."
This handbook is a critical start toward educating the community
and users in the art of MASINT. It needs to be "standard
issue" throughout the IC.
- As stated briefly above, the MASINT "identity crisis"
is also apparent when there are budget cuts to be made. As
one respondent noted, MASINT is the "soft underbelly,"
which is "easily cut" during budget cut drills.
Whenever there are cuts to be made within the IC (i.e., GDIP),
MASINT (particularly Research and Development (R&D) funds)
are some of the first to be targeted.
There was much discussion on the need to improve formal initial
and continuing education within the IC/2/ for MASINT professionals.
Formal scientific/technical, mathematical and engineering
skills are critical backgrounds for MASINT professionals who
do the detailed exploitation of MASINT data. Training for
these backgrounds is not typically done within the IC; it
is more a function of academia. To get the necessary professionals,
the IC must be able to recruit "MASINTers" from
the professional (research/laboratory) and academic worlds.
Continuing education needs to be both "in-house"
and fostered within the private/professional sectors.
- MASINT has no formal/viable method (i.e., metrics) for
evaluating MASINT contributions to the IC or user communities.
That is, there is no formal method for determining whether
MASINT analysis and products are satisfying the needs of the
customers. This was specifically characterized by the unbalanced
MASINT results of the recent Community-wide Capabilities Analysis.
There is a need to develop a metric or set of metrics to
determine the impact of MASINT products toward stated knowledge
goals.
Findings/Recommendations
- The services and agencies need to do a better job of educating
the user and, moreover, the IC, on the capabilities, applications,
and specifics of MASINT. MASINT (familiarity) should become
a formal course of professional education for all IC school
houses. Existing courses, that include MASINT content, should
be increased in scope and duration. Specific tailored courses
should provide a curricula that cuts across the spectrum of
general user overviews to in-depth analytic instruction.
- The MASINT User's Handbook should be required reading
within the IC. Additionally, recommend the MASINT User's
Handbook be developed in both all-source and unclassified
versions.
- Continuing IC education should emphasize the unique collection
and products of MASINT, and more specifically, the MASINT
(technical and scientific) applications of individual "traditional"
disciplines. That is, IC professionals within the IMINT and
SIGINT fields should be made more aware of the contributions
MASINT analysis can make to existing IMINT/SIGINT collections.
They need to be made aware that additional information may
be gleaned from existing collections once the "expected
information has been stripped away."
- Education, particularly continuing education, of the IC
cannot be overstated. The CMO has developed an updated
video tape that highlights MASINT contributions. This video
tape is an information sharing source that should be exploited
to the extent possible. The IC should share this tape with
all IC components and users. This tape, or like, should be
shown at the school houses and at operational intelligence
organizations to publicize the contributions of MASINT collection
and analysis.
- CMO should pursue an adjunct training capability, with
trained instructors, like that of NSA to ensure MASINT training
is conducted and maintained. This training facility should
be reviewed for both "in-house" and exportable training
efforts. CMO should be a "clearing house" for developing
such training materials, including "for credit"
courses. Funding for this should be a CMO responsibility,
with the necessary resources programmed and provided.
- There is a need to develop and maintain evaluation criteria
(metrics) to gauge MASINT customer needs satisfaction. The
National Intelligence Evaluation Council (NIEC -- within the
recommendations of the Intelligence Community Management staff
study, the NIEC is an organization subordinate to the DCI
and responsible for evaluating the Communities satisfaction
of requirements) should develop both evaluation criteria and
a program for measuring MASINT product effectiveness. This
is necessary to determine future needs and the ability to
satisfy those needs.
- CMO needs to provide more community emphasis on educating
the user (warfighter and policy makers) on the utility of
MASINT products and services. Specifically, the service War
Colleges, for example, need to increase the blocks that teach
intelligence to all future leaders of the Armed Forces. MASINT
must be a formal block of instruction in such courses. Again,
without a basic understanding of what the product can provide,
the customer typically has no appreciation of the need for
MASINT and the associated expenditures of funds. Without
such an appreciation, the discipline may be under-utilized.
D) "Funding levels for the current MASINT systems, and those
projected into the future are not reflective of the importance
of this discipline to the Nation's general intelligence/ dominant
knowledge efforts./3/ This is primarily because users do not
have direct tasking over, and therefore understanding of, MASINT
sensors."
- R&D is the lifeblood of MASINT. However, MASINT R&D
funding is one of the most vulnerable to being cut within
the GDIP program. Low obligation rates and lack appreciation
for R&D's future contributions make this an easy target
which is often hit during cut drills/actions.
- Funding levels are considered by the group as relatively
reflective of the current need. CMO's long range technology
plan, with associated expected costs, is good, but does not
allow for the unknowns of scientific breakthroughs or unforeseen
technology needs. The disparate organizational "ownership"
of the funding does not allow for coordinated/effective expenditure
of the available funds.
- MASINT requires, in many cases, single (to several) technical
collections systems, this forces paying "prototype costs."
This is a cost intensive effort that needs to be acknowledged
up front. Pure scientific research is the bread and butter
that must be funded at a continuing level. There is a need for
level-effort-funding like that of the laboratories, that is
not cut for convenience. Additionally, the MASINT community must
do better in terms of coordinating efforts with the national
laboratories.
Findings/Recommendations
- MASINT resources and funding needs must be better managed
and coordinated between the services, agencies, and laboratories.
CMO must be provided (or assume) better insight into each
of the MASINT programs. This should include providing recommendations
into MASINT system POM builds. However, the recommended DDCI/CM's
Community Management Staff (CMS) should construct the coordinated
budget.
- MASINT R&D efforts must be better coordinated to ensure
proper level of effort and minimize redundancy. CMO should
be given authority to have specific insight into the national
laboratory and ARPA developmental and research efforts, and
should have the ability to focus or request research and experimentation.
This should include a level-of-effort funding program, controlled
by CMO to do required research or to assist a promising technology.
CMO should be given the authority to directly obligate funding.
This recommendation is greatly facilitated by the TCA and
Technology Development Officer (TDO) organizations under the
DDCI/CM.
- CMO should be given additional budget authority to control
a "to be determined" amount of funding to be applied
to existing intelligence and operational systems to determine/improve
their MASINT data collection potentials.
- CMO must be directed to specifically prioritize MASINT
systems (agency and service included) for funding purposes. Such
authority must recognize that CMO does not have jurisdiction
over "multi-role" platforms (those that can accomplish
"MASINT collection" as incidental to their primary
tasks).
E) "The roadmap for specific MASINT technologies appears
to be fairly well thought out and necessary for the 21st century.
However, there may be insufficient funding flexibility for
reacting to, or pursuing new, emerging, or fleeting technologies.
Additionally, there is a need to ensure a balance between the
requirements and technologies that support military battlefield
requirements, and the often more exacting requirements and technologies
that are needed for IC national monitoring and detection of
weapon or agent developments."
- CMO has developed a technology roadmap, complete with
projected cost data. This effort appears to be logical and
complete with necessary analysis. However, the roadmap does
not provide well for the unknown. That is, there are always
the possibilities and probabilities for future new and
emerging technologies or requirements that cannot be specifically
planned for. There is a need to be able to capitalize on
these unforeseen breakthroughs. This is the need to "plan
for the unknown."
- Relative to "intelligence versus operations," there
appears to be a specific coordination problem with MASINT
versus counter-proliferation efforts against weapons of mass
destruction and, more specifically, chemical and biological
weapon (CW/BW) proliferation. Current efforts are not well
coordinated and resources are scattered throughout the U.S.
government. For example, the Under Secretary of Defense for
Nuclear Policy has significant resources available for the
defense of or counter proliferation efforts against CW/BW
weapons. CMO has little to no insight or direction into the
"intelligence-related" activities. Additionally,
without better insight, the CMO's MASINT roadmap will pursue
duplicative efforts.
- There is a critical difference between battlefield support
to military operations (SMO) MASINT requirements, and those
requirements for detecting, for example, the early stages
of a weapon or chemical agent development. Much MASINT and,
indeed, all other disciplines' emphasis is placed on SMO.
However, the criticality of developing and maintaining extremely
sensitive sensors for ensuring the Nation's ability to monitor,
detect, characterize and classify developmental weapons/efforts,
such as biological, chemical and nuclear, cannot be overemphasized.
There are specific requirement differences, for example,
in designing battlefield chemical detectors that "simply"
identify the presence of agents, and the more sophisticated
sensors designed to provide the in-depth collection and analysis
for knowledge of the characteristics of these agents. This
requires a balance of emphasis to ensure that "non-SMO"
intelligence requirements are met.
Findings/Recommendations
- CMO should be provided with a level-of-effort budgeting
capability. That is, CMO should request, and Congress should
provide (via legislation) for, a budgeting mechanism that
is that equivalent of "ready cash" or venture capital.
This account should be used to pursue new or unexpected technologies,
react to unforeseen requirements, etc. Such a funding mechanism
is becoming increasingly critical as technology turnover times
decrease. CMO should have the specific authorized ability
to direct funding against, or to pursue such promising technologies
or R&D efforts (without penalty for those technologies/or
scientific breakthroughs that do not bear fruit). This authority
needs to be analogous to a capital venturer.
- As with the "tactical" systems, CMO should have
direct insight and influence over Weapons of Mass Destruction
(WMD) efforts -- most specifically on the intelligence related
issues. There is a great potential to more closely coordinate
efforts and provide a more cohesive national defense. A CMO
specialist should be assigned to organizations working WMD
programs to improve the cross-flow of information on current
and planned capabilities/operations. Barring this, CMO should
be a formal invitee to any/all discussions that focus on this
area.
- Bistatics (RF) need more attention. Bistatic RF solutions
are poorly understood/appreciated within the traditional disciplines.
This area needs more study and resources put against it.
Bistatic solutions provide a unique opportunity to provide
real-time NCTI and for reducing friendly fire losses.
- CMO needs a continuous, broad review of all government,
and to the extent possible, commercial developments to determine
the most logical and cost effective MASINT potentials.
- The community must maintain proper emphasis on both SMO
and "non-SMO" aspects of collection and analysis.
The often more sophisticated and difficult processes of intelligence
collection and processing for detailed knowledge of weapons
systems, material content, molecular compositions, etc.,
require markedly different sensors and techniques which the
IC must pursue. Such collection and analysis capabilities
cannot be overemphasized. It is these techniques that
provide the knowledge base for developing the battlefield
SMO systems.
- Promising technologies which need current and future emphasis
include:
- a. Target signature data bases. These data bases will
be the future "targeting systems" for smart/brilliant
weapons. These data bases will also provide the potential "countermeasures
knowledge" for development of future defensive systems.
These data bases need improvement and application (and perhaps
maintenance) at the "shooter" level.
- b. Continual, coordinated sensor development (as science
and technology advances) in space, air ,sea, and ground. There
is a need to ensure all developments -- whether they are "intelligence"
or "operations," and despite the medium in which they
are intended to be employed, are coordinated to determine their
information production potentials.
- c. Refined signal processing that is applicable to all
intelligence disciplines. Technology advances that are worked
in one area of the IC must be shared throughout the community.
Far too often an agency or organization creates a collection
or processing technique or capability that has much potential
for other in the IC. There needs to be a vehicle whereby such
developments can be shared.
- d. Multi-sensor/data integration between diverse intelligence
disciplines and within disciplines. Again, there is much to
be gained from synergistic collection and analysis. This must
become the "business norm" throughout the IC.
- e. Wide area surveillance technologies employing target
signature identification methods. Such technologies hold the
promise of improving automated recognition algorithms for improving
analyst productivity.
- f. MASINT system direct integration with other intelligence
collection and operational (warfighting) sensors. Again, the
concepts of multi-discipline intelligence analysis and the immediate
(tactical) use of such available information will be crucial
to future needs satisfaction.
- g. Multi-spectral signatures. Current and future generations
of smart weapons; Theater Ballistic Missile Defense (TBMD), including
SCUD hunting, will need improved specific signature identification
(data bases) for target weapon systems. This can be done via
a number of signature specifics such as acoustic, seismic, thermal
and RF emanations. There is a need to integrate such information
data bases into U.S. weapons systems.
- h. MASINT support to Information Warfare. Intelligence
support to Information Warfare (IW) is a growing field. The
potential utilities of MASINT systems need to be studied and
evaluated for their IW potential.
F. "Although the CMO has the necessary legal authorities,
it is not properly staffed commensurate with its responsibilities.
Additionally, a fractured organizational structure provides
little to no focused MASINT management, budgeting oversight,
tasking control, or coordination of effort. This may potentially
cause inefficient expenditures of resources and duplicative
developments."
- As stated earlier, MASINT as a discipline was created in
1986, with attendant start up of the MASINT Committee. Three
directives provide guidance relative to the MASINT discipline.
Specifically, the DCI Directive 2/11 gives CMO the authorities
to provide for the "common concern (re: MASINT) on behalf
of the Intelligence Community." The Department of Defense
(DoD) Directive 5105.21, as amended, empowers the Defense
Intelligence Agency (DIA) with the conduct of MASINT, and
DoD Directive 5105.58 provides the CMO with authorities for
MASINT within DIA. These directives proscribe specific responsibilities
(for CMO) and MASINT management duties. Some of these duties
include: providing direct and advisory tasking; developing
MASINT policy; coordinating plans and architectures; and
programming and budgeting. However, CMO's authority does
not expressly extend to the use of CIA human intelligence
assets for the collection and analysis of MASINT.
When first created, the CMO worked (organizationally) directly
for the Director, DIA as the executive agency for MASINT.
As a result of several DIA reorganizations, CMO's position
within DIA has moved to within the Collections branch, organizationally
subordinate to the National Military Intelligence Collection
Center (NMICC). However, the GDIP Staff, which is directly
subordinate to the Director of Military Intelligence Staff
and which is not directly in the CMO's chain of command, has
a direct influence on the CMO's authorities. Specifically,
the GDIP Manager, who is responsible for recommending GDIP
resources for inclusion in or exclusion from the President's
budget, orchestrates the budget process, allocates fiscal
guidance, directs reductions and reallocations, and approves
the GDIP budget. The GDIP Manager is assisted by three Defense
Intelligence Functional Managers (FMs) for Collection,
Processing, and Infrastructure. These FMs are charged with
the preparation, supervision, and monitoring of GDIP programs
and budgets within their areas of responsibility. The Director
of the NMICC is also the GDIP FM for Collection. This puts
the Collection FM and management staff directly above the
CMO in the current organizational structure to represent MASINT
and other disciplines/functions. This organizational construct
limits CMO's actual influence over MASINT system development,
tasking/operations, and programmatics. The MASINT Panel participants
unanimously voiced opinions that the CMO is virtually powerless
to direct and coordinate the MASINT effort. Additionally,
CMO only has direct control over approximately 1/4 of the
total MASINT funding./4/ The remainder is within the service
and agency accounts. (It should be noted that much of this
remainder pays for systems that not strictly MASINT systems
or operations - therefore, much of this should not be the
purview of the CMO.)
- The CMO has true functional management over only those
MASINT funds within the GDIP. Because CMO is a management
organization, most of its funds are actually obligated by
the Services or Agencies. For example, 84% of the GDIP
MASINT funding is obligated by USAF (this equates to 30% of
the USAF's GDIP TOA), and USAF provides 93% of the manpower./5/
These are important statistics in light of previous recommendations.
Further, some respondents stated that CMO's direct authority
over GDIP-only funds tends to focus CMO's efforts on GDIP
issues. That is, CIAP and other (TIARA) programs do not get
proper CMO attention because CMO does not have insight or
leverage into these programs (the "Golden Rule"
applies - "he who owns the gold rules"). Therefore,
such programs may suffer a lack of community-wide direction.
CMO needs insight into all "national" (CIAP) and
"tactical" (TIARA) systems, missions and developments.
- The CMO's Mission Area Assessment identifies, as a critical
need characteristic for future MASINT systems, a centralized/coordinated
direction and oversight./6/ Under the current construct,
the Services and Agencies have control of over 75% of all
MASINT resources./7/ CMO has no direct control or oversight
of these resources, rightfully so in some cases. But the
fact remains, the CMO's ability to provide quality centralized
management is hampered by organizational and budgetary barriers.
- There is "no one in charge" of MASINT. An in-depth
review of the MASINT "chain of command" reveals
that it is difficult, if not impossible, to find a congruent
chain of command for the MASINT "system of systems."
That is, there is no continuous chain of responsibility flowing
from the Director, DIA, through Director CMO to the Services/Agencies,
to the collection systems, to the users and back. Despite
the official DCI and DoD responsibilities and authorities
assigned to the CMO, very little authority is actually applied
in reality. This can be directly attributed to the fractured
chain of command, limited CMO manning, and organizational
construct under DIA denies CMO from providing a real community
leadership role. CMO must actually assume the authorities
(with additional billets described later) which it has been
charged.
- The Director, DIA -- not the Director, CMO -- is the real
spokesman for MASINT at the Military Intelligence Board (MIB).
This contrasts unfavorably with the Director, NSA and the
Director, CIO, who are the (logical) spokespersons for their
technical disciplines. The panel voiced concern that the
Director, DIA is often forced to "choose" between
MASINT issues and all other issues without having the technical
expertise in the MASINT area. As an example, although budget
cuts are worked in a formal process, MASINT R&D is considered
by some as the GDIP budget's "soft underbelly,"
liable to be the first to take funding cuts (before, say,
operational systems or manpower billets). It was acknowledged
that some of the R&D cuts are due to poor execution of
funds -- although execution rate determinates can be misleading.
Nonetheless, CMO should have the real voice in MASINT matters
to ensure that balanced, well-considered, logical decisions
are made.
- With specific regard to the budgeting process, because
the DIA GDIP Management Staff has significant authority in
the current organizational structure over CMO, some respondents
criticized that policy decisions often that do not reflect
the professional thinking within the CMO. Additionally, since
DIA is not an acquisition organization, CMO must transfer
allocated funds to the services to work specific technology
issues. This is done through the DIA comptroller. The process
is slow and cumbersome, and does not provide the CMO the flexibility
they need to ensure thoughtful technologies and reactive operations.
Finally, because CMO's R&D budget must use the GDIP budgeting
accounting process, obligation rates often lag behind the
established "norms." Accordingly, these funds can
be easily targeted for reduction even though their need is
real.
- Because of prior position cuts, until very recently, the
CMO has been left without the necessary leadership (General
officer or SES-level) that has the real authority to coordinate
the MASINT community.
- Based on panel respondent estimates, the CMO is understaffed,
both in real terms based on current billets authorizations,
and based on real need. Currently, the CMO is authorized
30 DIA billets -- 27 of which are filled; 6 CIA billets --
5 of which are filled; 2 each Army and Navy billets - none
of which are filled; 1 Air Force SES position -- the individual
for this position was just recently hired; and 15 officer
billets for the Consolidated MASINT Technical Collection Office
(CMTCO) -- 14 of which are filled./8/) Although a specific
number needs refined analysis, several respondents discussed
numbers of approximately 75-100 authorized CMO billets as
being more in line with the tasked mission of the office.
The current limitation of people relegates the CMO into an
organization that is reactive in nature and "bound by
the in-box." Additionally, CMO is not manned or postured
to do material development. This development, in most cases,
should be, and remains, the purview of the Services and Agencies.
However, CMO should have oversight and coordination authorities
for these programs. Additionally, partly because of size
and IC organizational structure, CMO is not aware of all
MASINT-related programs conducted throughout the USG. This
is particularly true of multi-, hyper- and ultra-spectral
sensing being pursued by various agencies.
- The MASINT Committee and its subcommittees (which predate
the CMO) exist primarily as a means of cross-flowing information
between agencies and services. This committee is analogous
to the SIGINT committee. Several participants questioned
whether these committees (and subcommittees) are only necessary
because CMO is not properly sized/staffed to meet its responsibilities./9/
However, a number of respondents stated these committees
are extremely useful and should be maintained.
Findings/Recommendations
- The Director, Central MASINT Office has the necessary
legal authority to carry out the functions of a coordinated
MASINT program. However, because of a lack of personnel,
grade and organizational structure, the Director, CMO does
not have the real authority to carry out his/her responsibilities.
To ensure community-wide coordination of efforts, CMO's charter
under DCID 2/11-1 should specifically include the management
oversight of all MASINT budget builds including CIA MASINT
programs. This charter should also provide the Director,
CMO the authority to "determine" the systems are
or can be a MASINT contributors. This would be to determine
what systems could provide MASINT collection, and which could
be logically managed within the MASINT program." This
CMO authority concept may not be well received by the Services
and Agencies, but is actually CMO's assigned task today.
- The Director of CMO needs to be a General Officer or SES-level
position, with not only the statutory or executive order authority
to be the spokesman for, but the real authority for MASINT,
as is the Director, NSA for SIGINT. The Director, DIA has recently
hired a new SES as the Director, CMO. As of the writing of
this report, any new titles/responsibilities/authorities to
be granted this person are unknown. However, the Director
CMO, needs to be a permanent member of the MIB, NFIB and other
senior DCI and DoD boards/panels as the representative for
MASINT. His authority to establish MASINT community direction,
standards, etc, should be on par with those of Director, NSA
and Director, CIO (or the new NIMA). Director, CMO should
also be a formal member of a senior steering committee that
can vet MASINT issues applicable to the entire IC. (The
Intelligence Community Management staff study recommends a
construct for this to occur.)
- A MASINT management reorganization will be painful, but
is necessary to ensure the viability of this critical future
discipline. Such a reorganization should focus on joint
units, offices, and organizations. Such an organization
should be within the TCA (see the Intelligence Community
Management staff study). Specifically, MASINT management
requires a "stand alone" capability like that of NSA
- though all would agree, not the size. This should requires
the equivalent of a U.S. MASINT System (USMS) like the U.S.
SIGINT System or the U.S. Imagery System. If there is no
consolidation of the IC structure (i.e. a TCA) the CMO may
need to be an organization independent of the DIA structure,
but not necessarily independent of the Director, DIA. For
"care and feeding" purposes, the CMO can continue
to exist within DIA, but must be an organization that reports
directly to the Director, DIA, not the staff elements of
DIA. Additionally, the CMO must have the authority to use
existing (DIA) budgeting organizations (on an "outsourcing
basis") to facilitate their obligation and transfer of
funds as necessary. CMO could also be organized outside of
DIA directly responsible to the Assistant Secretary of Defense,
Command Control Communications and Intelligence. In either
case, CMO needs to be responsible for all USG MASINT efforts
(just like NSA is for SIGINT), and responsible to the DCI
and SECDEF for satisfaction of MASINT information needs.
In either case, the CMO must be given the real authority to
take on the responsibilities laid out in existing charter.
- The CMO should be given the NSA-equivalent of the "SIGINT
seal of approval." (Under the TCA construct, this becomes
a mute issue.) That is, CMO should be given a U.S. MASINT
System (USMS) lead status with the ability to provide real
guidance relative to programming, research and development,
standards, tasking and operations. CMO should have more authority
over service and agency developments and acquisitions (this
should be a chairman of the board construct). This is not
to undermine service/agency Title 10 authorities, but rather
to provide a coordinated approach to resource expenditures.
Again, this may not be well received by the services/agencies,
but is actually CMO's assigned task today. In conjunction
with, and through the authority of the DDCI/CM's Infrastructure
Support Organization (ISO), the CMO should establish MASINT
system standards, with the services/agencies (the consolidated
NRO) developing the material solutions.
- Increase the size of the CMO. A specific number needs
further analysis, however, respondents argue that a staff of
at least 75-100 people is needed. This number is based on
an independent (e.g. no TCA) organization. Refined numbers
for a division within the TCA will have to be determined.
However, a TBD percentage of these billets should be military,
with the services providing their experts to the organization.
In the joint environment, the Director, CMO needs to facilitate
the "cross-pollination" of services, organizations,
and agencies to ensure the long term needs of customers can
best be satisfied. Additionally, the CMO should have representatives
assigned to the theater CINCs just as does NSA, DoD HUMINT,
etc.
- The role of the MASINT Committee should be further reviewed
for adequacy/need. Most study participants voiced a good
deal of support for the MASINT Committee, stating that it
provides a useful forum for the Agencies and Services to voice
their concerns, opinions and positions as (CMO) policy decisions
are developed. They believe this allows for infusion of some
much needed objectivity into the MASINT decision process.
However, there is a question of what the Committee's true
charter is, particularly when viewed in the light of a stronger,
more robust (also read: joint) CMO. There is no readily apparent
savings or added value to dissolving the MASINT Committee,
but the committee construct as a whole should be viewed for
future relevancy.
- CMO must be able to state and maintain the necessary management
positions (both popular and unpopular) relative to MASINT
budget/programmatic recommendations and decisions. Such decision
must be further incorporated within the CMS budget process
(again, see the Intelligence Community Management staff study
for further discussion). Such coordinated budgeting can only
happen if CMO is given and takes more direct control of the
entire MASINT effort from budget through policy formulation.
Additional Thoughts
- MASINT is a science-intensive discipline. Its one true
characteristic is the need for practitioners well-versed in the
broad range of physical and electrical sciences. These people
cannot be honed from military service schools in one or two
years. These people need to come from academia fresh with the
scientific knowledge from experimentation and research. Nor
can they continue to be "proficient" in their areas
of expertise if they are maintained in government employ for
an entire career. Such scientists must have portability. That
is, they must be able to leave government employment and rejoin
the ranks of academics in order to maintain their scientific
knowledge. The IC needs the personnel equivalent of commercial
off-the-shelf technology (COTS). As part of the overall IC
management initiatives, we discussed examining the feasibility
of pursuing trial personnel management programs that provide
incentives to recruit the necessary scientific experts for the
IC's needs. Such programs need to be pursued with the full
understanding that such experts may not spend a 20-30 year
career in government employment. The Committee recognizes the
magnitude of such a proposal, and stops short of attempting
to enact this recommendation into law. However, the we believe
plans, such as limited government pensions, movement of private
pensions and savings plans into (and out of) the federal retirement
plans, bonuses, etc., hold the promise of helping to ensure
the Community can retain these experts for national service.
We also believe there is a need to address the issue of being
able to rehire retired military experts. Although costly, the
returns in terms scientific knowledge would be well worth the
investment.
- For intelligence collection/support systems, there is a
continuum that runs from those systems that provide pure intelligence
collection and those that provide pure operational (i.e., SMO)
support. In reality, all U.S. IC systems fall within the two
extremes. There is a need to "plot" where individual
systems fall, determine the IC strengths, its weaknesses (the
holes) and use existing systems to cover the holes before setting
off to build new systems or capabilities.
- The intent of this report is not to "oversell" MASINT,
but rather to call attention to some areas of concern, weakness,
and, in fact, strengths. MASINT is not the most critical intelligence
source for U.S. customers today. However, for any one particular
incident or collection opportunity, no discipline always is.
True all-source collection and analysis is critical. This
report does try to emphasize that MASINT is a critical discipline
that has the unique potential of being more so in the future.
MASINT provides information that other sources cannot. This
is not to say it is specifically a niche field, but can satisfy
niche requirements.
- The group identified (via various inputs) some recurring
thoughts that would identify the MASINT system's greatest needs.
These deserve reiterating:
- Educate people on what MASINT is and is not.
- MASINT can be used for immediate battlefield survival
(tactical support).
- MASINT information is critical for national information
needs (national survival) by providing information on the
weapons of mass destruction and chemical and biological
proliferation/use. There is a need to more clearly tie
CMO's structure into the "national" (CIA) structure.
- Smart/brilliant weapons will, increasingly, depend on
MASINT information.
- MASINT development must be focused on sensor to shooter
and sensor to seeker head.
- MASINT provides the potential for unambiguous discrimination
for identification of friend and foe (for preventing fratricide).
- Underground targets will be a future because of U.S.
successes in DESERT STORM. This will add to the importance
of MASINT exploitation.
- Requirements: there is a need for a "National MASINT
Requirements Tasking Center" similar to the National
HUMINT Requirements Tasking Center (NHRTC)."
- The services are justifiably concerned that any management/organizational
changes may adversely affect warfighting capabilities. Any
changes resulting from IC-21 must factor those concerns, and
a proper balance of centralized management/coordination versus
operational needs must be found.
- There is absolute need for tasking and planning interactions
between all players for all planning, R&D, system development,
tasking, employment, etc.
- There needs to be a joint collection manager MOS/AFSC
within the services, or, at a minimum, there needs to be
an effective training block/course for all personnel assigned
to work in collection management positions. How can we develop
an JCMT without it?
Conclusion
There are a number of varied thoughts relative to the future
of MASINT. Whether it remains a specifically-named intelligence
discipline or not is less important than ensuring the viability
of the technically and scientifically derived information from
the many collection sources. User knowledge and insight as to
what the MASINT product can provide for the future battlefield
or for national objectives is imperative. Strong leadership is
necessary to steer this "intelligence discipline of the future"
into the next century.
FOOTNOTES
- MASINT panel #3 discussions; individual responses to MASINT
questionnaire
- MASINT Panel #1, #2, and #3 discussions and individual interviews.
- Panel respondents, MASINT panel # 1, 2 and 3 discussions.
- MASINT Panel #2 and #3 discussions, and with CMO
- USAF MASINT briefing
- MASINT 2010, Planning the U.S. MASINT System for the 21st
Century
- MASINT panel #2 and #3, discussion with acting Director, CMO,
Mr. Jim Fahnestock
- CMO figures.
- MASINT panels 1, 2, and 3 and personal interviews.
This document is sponsored by the U.S. House of Representatives
on the United States Government Printing Office
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